Granada CF vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,075 vs 1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Granada CF vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 9Thalys
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 33Quim Junyent
- 29S. Džodić
- 18F. Bonini
- 21Chumi
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 22D. Chirino
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Almeria have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Granada CF wins, 0 draws, 4 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Granada CF 2-0 Almeria | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Granada CF 2-4 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Almeria 3-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Almeria 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Almeria 2-1 Granada CF | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Almeria on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Almeria | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 10th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Almeria sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Granada CF vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Almeria played?
- Granada CF vs Almeria is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.