Granada CF vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,036 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Almeria have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Granada CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Almeria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Granada CF 2-0 Almeria | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Granada CF 2-4 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Almeria 3-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Almeria 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Almeria 2-1 Granada CF | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Almeria on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Almeria | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 16th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Almeria sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Almeria?
- The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Almeria played?
- Granada CF vs Almeria is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.