Altay vs Atyrau: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Semipalatinsk
The Footlab AI model makes Altay the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Atyrau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Altay wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altay vs Atyrau?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Altay (1,435) and Atyrau (1,450).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Altay vs Atyrau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Altay
3-4-3- 45D. Dodev
- 99D. Stoisavljević
- 70D. Mitrofanov
- 98D. Podstrelov
- 18A. Nazymkhanov
- 11I. Dadaev
- 9E. Gorshunov
- 4N. Mićević
- 15Dmitriy Shmidt
- 23D. Kenzhegulov
- 25D. Kucher
Atyrau
3-4-2-1- 44Đ. Maksimović
- 15E. Ofori
- 8M. Stanić
- 90Đ. Pantelić
- 4R. Oyndamola
- 4Mario Rabiu
- 20A. Boranshiev
- 71F. Prce
- 17K. Kalmuratov
- 78E. Khvalko
- 1E. Khatkevich
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Atyrau have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Irtysh(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ulytau(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kaisar(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Astana(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Altay wins, 1 draw, 1 Atyrau win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Atyrau 1-0 Altay | Premier League |
| May 8, 2019 | Altay 2-2 Atyrau | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Altay score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atyrau score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altay | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Atyrau | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altay sit 15th in Premier League (23 points from 27 matches) and Atyrau sit 12th (26 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atyrau | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 26 |
| 15 | Altay | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 23 |
A question about Altay vs Atyrau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altay vs Atyrau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Altay the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Atyrau.
- Where and when is Altay vs Atyrau played?
- Altay vs Atyrau is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.