FC Astana vs Kaspiy: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Astana Arena, Astana
The Footlab AI model makes FC Astana the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Kaspiy. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
FC Astana starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,528).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Astana vs Kaspiy
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Astana
4-2-3-1- 81R. Karimov
- 7D. Karaman
- 10M. Tomasov
- 9B. Islamkhan
- 8I. Bašić
- 15A. Beisebekov
- 11Y. Vorogovskiy
- 5K. Kažukolovas
- 2K. Bartolec
- 6A. Kassym
- 74M. Seysen
Kaspiy
4-2-3-1- 9R. Abylaykhan
- 15D. Epton
- 26P. Sedko
- 17V. Klimovich
- 11N. Ndombasi
- 47D. Usenov
- 30Bernardo Morgado
- 14A. Amaral
- 19M. Taykenov
- 21D. Aripov
- 24Dinmukhammed Zhomart
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Astana have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kaspiy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Irtysh(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ordabasy(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Altay(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Astana wins, 0 draws, 1 Kaspiy win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Kaspiy 1-0 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Kaspiy 1-2 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | FC Astana 3-1 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Kaspiy 0-3 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2022 | FC Astana 4-0 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Kaspiy 0-1 FC Astana | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Astana score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaspiy score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astana | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kaspiy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Astana sit 3rd in Premier League (48 points from 26 matches) and Kaspiy sit 10th (32 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 48 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 32 |
A question about FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Astana the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Kaspiy.
- Where and when is FC Astana vs Kaspiy played?
- FC Astana vs Kaspiy is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Astana Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.