Match

Balıkesirspor vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir

BalıkesirsporKepezspor

The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Kepezspor?

Balıkesirspor starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,546).

Balıkesirspor win57 %
Draw25 %
Kepezspor win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balıkesirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Bornova 1877(away)4-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 4
Kepezspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Batman Petrolspor(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Altınordu(home)2-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)0-12. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ankaragücü(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Elazığspor(away)1-32. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balıkesirspor1.90.967/159/15
Kepezspor1.02.1310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Kepezspor?
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Kepezspor played?
Balıkesirspor vs Kepezspor is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Balıkesirspor and Kepezspor

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