Match

Bucaspor 1928 vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir

Bucaspor 1928Denizli İYG

The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Denizli İYG?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Bucaspor 1928 (1,550) and Denizli İYG (1,577).

Bucaspor 1928 win40 %
Draw28 %
Denizli İYG win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Denizli İYG have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaspor 1928
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)3-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Altınordu(away)0-22. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 3, 2026Ankaragücü(away)0-12. Lig
Denizli İYG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)3-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-53. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bucaspor 19280.92.119/157/15
Denizli İYG1.11.082/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Denizli İYG?
The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Denizli İYG.
Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Denizli İYG played?
Bucaspor 1928 vs Denizli İYG is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bucaspor 1928 and Denizli İYG

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