Match

Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Uşak 1 Eylül Stadı, Uşak

Uşak SporAyvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,517).

Uşak Spor win24 %
Draw29 %
Ayvalikgucu win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uşak Spor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uşak Spor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away)1-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Ayvalikgucu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-23. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026Karsiyaka(away)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Uşak Spor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Uşak Spor 0-2 Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Group 4
Sep 21, 2025Ayvalikgucu 0-2 Uşak Spor3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uşak Spor0.91.264/154/15
Ayvalikgucu1.40.865/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu?
The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Uşak Spor.
Where and when is Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu played?
Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Uşak 1 Eylül Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Uşak Spor and Ayvalikgucu

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