Worthing vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Worthing the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Worthing wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worthing vs Sutton Utd?
Worthing starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (2,013 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Worthing vs Sutton Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Worthing
4-3-3- 24C. Kendall
- 7R. Coleman De-Graft
- 27J. Young
- 15R. Aguiar
- 4J. Wadham
- 28C. Waller
- 6Jayden Moore
- 2J. Colbran
- 3C. Adjetey-Brew
- 5J. Cook
- 13T. Seymour
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 16B. Njoku
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 19Joe Knight
- 12D. Urpens
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 3B. Topalloj
- 1S. Brits
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sutton Utd have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worthing wins, 1 draw, 1 Sutton Utd win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2017 | Sutton Utd 3-2 Worthing | FA Trophy |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Worthing 2-2 Sutton Utd | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Sutton Utd vs Worthing on Jan 24, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sutton Utd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worthing sit 5th in National League (21 points from 12 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 11th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Worthing vs Sutton Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Sutton Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Worthing the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Worthing vs Sutton Utd played?
- Worthing vs Sutton Utd is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.