Altrincham vs Notts County: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)The J. Davidson Stadium, Altrincham, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Altrincham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Altrincham (1,814) and Notts County (1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Altrincham vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Altrincham
4-3-3- 15S. Taylor
- 14M. Kosylo
- 23C. Kirk
- 22T. Crawford
- 10A. Barlow
- 4J. Hinchy
- 24S. Barnes
- 5J. Southern-Cooper
- 2L. Banks
- 21R. Lopata-White
- 34H. Isted
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 19L. Smyth
- 11C. Grant
- 20S. Robertson
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altrincham have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Notts County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 6-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Altrincham win, 1 draw, 4 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | Altrincham 0-2 Notts County | National League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Notts County 3-1 Altrincham | National League |
| May 7, 2022 | Notts County 3-0 Altrincham | National League |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Notts County 2-1 Altrincham | FA Trophy |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Altrincham 1-0 Notts County | National League |
| May 1, 2021 | Altrincham 1-1 Notts County | National League |
Last archived meeting: Altrincham vs Notts County on Mar 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Altrincham score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Notts County | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Altrincham vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altrincham vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Altrincham.
- Where and when is Altrincham vs Notts County played?
- Altrincham vs Notts County is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at The J. Davidson Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.