Gasogi United vs Amagaju: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab model makes Gasogi United the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Amagaju. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gasogi United vs Amagaju?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Gasogi United (1,611) and Amagaju (1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gasogi United have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Amagaju have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Musanze(away) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 22, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gasogi United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Amagaju win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Gasogi United 0-1 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Amagaju 0-1 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Gasogi United 1-0 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Amagaju 2-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Amagaju 2-0 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Gasogi United 0-1 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Gasogi United vs Amagaju on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gasogi United score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Amagaju score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gasogi United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Amagaju | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gasogi United sit 15th in National Soccer League (35 points from 34 matches) and Amagaju sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 38 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gasogi United vs Amagaju?
- The Footlab model makes Gasogi United the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Amagaju.
- Where and when is Gasogi United vs Amagaju played?
- Gasogi United vs Amagaju is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.