Amarante vs Torreense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
The Footlab model makes Amarante the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Torreense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amarante vs Torreense?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Amarante (1,991) and Torreense (2,001).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amarante have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Torreense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torreense score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Torreense | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amarante sit 16th in Segunda Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Torreense sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Torreense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Amarante | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amarante vs Torreense?
- The Footlab model makes Amarante the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Torreense.
- Where and when is Amarante vs Torreense played?
- Amarante vs Torreense is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.