Vizela vs Chaves: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
The Footlab AI model makes Vizela the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Chaves. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vizela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vizela vs Chaves?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Vizela (1,994) and Chaves (1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vizela vs Chaves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vizela
4-2-3-1- 36M. Lacava
- 8A. Bastunov
- 6Giovani Bamba
- 16Miguel Pires
- 24H. Mörschel
- 11N. Thio
- 4J. Rhyner
- 20B. Godwin
- 13Luís Rocha
- 55A. Hristov
- 1Antonio Gomis
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 16D. Yearwood
- 23Léo Alabá
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 7R. Esajas
- 1João Valido
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vizela have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chaves have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bombarralense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vizela wins, 0 draws, 3 Chaves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Vizela 1-0 Chaves | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Vizela 3-2 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chaves 1-0 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Chaves 1-2 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Vizela 0-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Vizela 0-1 Chaves | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vizela score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Chaves | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vizela sit 8th in Segunda Liga (11 points from 7 matches) and Chaves sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Vizela vs Chaves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vizela vs Chaves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vizela the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Chaves.
- Where and when is Vizela vs Chaves played?
- Vizela vs Chaves is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Vizela, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.