Leixoes vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Leixoes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academica wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leixoes vs Academica?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Leixoes (1,958) and Academica (2,035).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leixoes vs Academica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leixoes
4-4-2- 35B. Rochez
- 7Salvador Agra
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo
- 10Rafael Barbosa
- 80João Assunção
- 8Miguel Sousa
- 4Matheus Costa
- 30Serif Nhaga
- 77Paulinho
- 3Lourenço Henriques
- 51I. Stefanović
Academica
4-3-3- 8K. Zohi
- 23Rui Gomes
- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 22Hélder Lopes
- 12Victor Braga
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leixoes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Academica have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 3-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Academica(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leixoes win, 2 draws, 3 Academica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Academica 4-0 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Academica 1-0 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Leixoes 2-1 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| May 22, 2021 | Leixoes 1-2 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Academica 1-1 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Leixoes 1-1 Academica | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Leixoes score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Academica | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leixoes sit 11th in Segunda Liga (11 points from 10 matches) and Academica sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Academica | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Leixoes vs Academica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leixoes vs Academica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Leixoes.
- Where and when is Leixoes vs Academica played?
- Leixoes vs Academica is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Mar, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.