União de Leiria vs FC Porto B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate União de Leiria (1,944) and FC Porto B (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União de Leiria have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Porto B have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 União de Leiria win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 FC Porto B win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | União de Leiria 2-2 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Porto B 1-2 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | União de Leiria 0-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | FC Porto B 1-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | União de Leiria 1-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | FC Porto B 2-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: União de Leiria vs FC Porto B on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
União de Leiria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto B score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Porto B | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
União de Leiria sit 9th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Porto B sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Porto B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
- The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for FC Porto B.
- Where and when is União de Leiria vs FC Porto B played?
- União de Leiria vs FC Porto B is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.