Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Bridge Meadow Stadium, Hwlffordd / Haverfordwest, Pembrokeshie
The Footlab model makes Cardiff MET the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Haverfordwest County AFC (1,777) and Cardiff MET (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haverfordwest County AFC have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Cardiff MET have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Cardiff MET win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Cardiff MET 0-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Cardiff MET 0-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-2 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Cardiff MET 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff MET score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Cardiff MET | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff MET sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET?
- The Footlab model makes Cardiff MET the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET played?
- Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bridge Meadow Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.