Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab model makes Trefelin the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Trefelin (1,757) and Ammanford AFC (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trefelin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ammanford AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Ammanford AFC 0-4 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Trefelin 2-0 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Ammanford AFC 1-2 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Trefelin 0-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Trefelin 1-2 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Ammanford AFC 1-1 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 2.6 | 1.4 | 7 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Ammanford AFC sit 12th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Trefelin the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC played?
- Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.