Ancona vs Foligno Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Foligno Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ancona vs Foligno Calcio?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ancona vs Foligno Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Foligno Calcio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Foligno Calcio score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Foligno Calcio | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ancona sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 7 matches) and Foligno Calcio sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
A question about Ancona vs Foligno Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ancona vs Foligno Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Foligno Calcio.
- Where and when is Ancona vs Foligno Calcio played?
- Ancona vs Foligno Calcio is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Conero, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026TeramovsRecanatese
- Dec 20, 2026Sporting TrestinavsL'Aquila
- Dec 20, 2026Termoli CalciovsNotaresco
- Dec 20, 2026Vigor SenigalliavsAngelana
- Dec 20, 2026Atletico AscolivsMontecchio Gallo
- Dec 20, 2026FossombronevsMaceratese
- Dec 20, 2026Lanciano FCvsReal Giulianova
- Dec 20, 2026SantegidiesevsPietralunga