Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Montecchio Gallo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Atletico Ascoli (1,773) and Montecchio Gallo (1,729).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Montecchio Gallo
Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Ascoli have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Montecchio Gallo have 3, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Ascoli score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montecchio Gallo score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Montecchio Gallo | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Ascoli sit 7th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 8 matches) and Montecchio Gallo sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Montecchio Gallo.
- Where and when is Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo played?
- Atletico Ascoli vs Montecchio Gallo is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.