Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lorenzo Casini, Trestina
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,638).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Trestina have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; L'Aquila have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-6 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Trestina score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Trestina | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| L'Aquila | 1.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Trestina sit 18th in Serie D - Girone F (4 points from 8 matches) and L'Aquila sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila played?
- Sporting Trestina vs L'Aquila is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lorenzo Casini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.