Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notaresco wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,593) and Notaresco (1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Notaresco have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Termoli Calcio wins, 1 draw, 2 Notaresco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 1-2 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Notaresco 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Notaresco 2-0 Termoli Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 2-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Notaresco 0-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 2-0 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Notaresco | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 7 matches) and Notaresco sit 6th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Notaresco is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.