Where and when is Fossombrone vs Maceratese played?

Fossombrone vs Maceratese is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fossombrone vs Maceratese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone

Fossombrone

Maceratese

The Footlab model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fossombrone vs Maceratese?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Fossombrone (1,673) and Maceratese (1,644).

Fossombrone win45 %

Draw30 %

Maceratese win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Maceratese have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fossombrone
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Cesena(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Recanatese(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Castelfidardo Calcio(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Atletico Ascoli(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Ancona(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F

Maceratese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Chieti(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Real Giulianova(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Unipomezia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Recanatese(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Castelfidardo Calcio(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fossombrone win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Maceratese win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2026	Fossombrone 0-0 Maceratese	Serie D - Girone F
Sep 21, 2025	Maceratese 1-2 Fossombrone	Serie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Fossombrone vs Maceratese on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fossombrone score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fossombrone	0.7	1.3	4	6/15	7/15
Maceratese	1.0	1.3	3	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fossombrone sit 9th in Serie D - Girone F (44 points from 34 matches) and Maceratese sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fossombrone	34	11	11	12	28	34	44
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43	49	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Maceratese?: The Footlab model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Maceratese.
Where and when is Fossombrone vs Maceratese played?: Fossombrone vs Maceratese is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.