Ancona vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ancona vs Recanatese?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ancona vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ancona wins, 0 draws, 2 Recanatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Recanatese 2-4 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ancona 2-0 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Recanatese 3-2 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Ancona 1-0 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Recanatese 1-3 Ancona | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Recanatese 2-0 Ancona | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ancona sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Ancona vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ancona vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Ancona vs Recanatese played?
- Ancona vs Recanatese is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Conero, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027TeramovsMontecchio Gallo
- Apr 25, 2027Sporting TrestinavsReal Giulianova
- Apr 25, 2027Termoli CalciovsMaceratese
- Apr 25, 2027Vigor SenigalliavsL'Aquila
- Apr 25, 2027Atletico AscolivsNotaresco
- Apr 25, 2027FossombronevsAngelana
- Apr 25, 2027Lanciano FCvsPietralunga
- Apr 25, 2027SantegidiesevsFoligno Calcio