Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, Senigallia
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Vigor Senigallia. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Vigor Senigallia (1,749) and L'Aquila (1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Senigallia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; L'Aquila have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-6 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vigor Senigallia win, 3 draws, 2 L'Aquila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 2-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 2, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-0 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 6, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-2 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Vigor Senigallia 1-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 4, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-1 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Vigor Senigallia 0-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Senigallia score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Senigallia | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| L'Aquila | 1.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Senigallia sit 6th in Serie D - Girone F (16 points from 10 matches) and L'Aquila sit 2nd (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
A question about Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Vigor Senigallia.
- Where and when is Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila played?
- Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.