Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Santegidiese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Foligno Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santegidiese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Santegidiese (1,673) and Foligno Calcio (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 02:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Foligno Calcio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Foligno Calcio score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 5/8 | 3/8 |
| Foligno Calcio | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone F (8 points from 8 matches) and Foligno Calcio sit 4th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santegidiese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Foligno Calcio.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio played?
- Santegidiese vs Foligno Calcio is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.