Sporting Trestina vs Real Giulianova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lorenzo Casini, Trestina
The Footlab model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Trestina vs Real Giulianova?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Sporting Trestina (1,648) and Real Giulianova (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Trestina have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Giulianova have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prato(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sansepolcro(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chieti(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Trestina score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Giulianova score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Trestina | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Giulianova | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Trestina vs Real Giulianova?
- The Footlab model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Sporting Trestina vs Real Giulianova played?
- Sporting Trestina vs Real Giulianova is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lorenzo Casini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.