Anderlecht vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
The Footlab AI model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Anderlecht wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Anderlecht (2,102) and St. Truiden (2,035).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anderlecht
4-4-2- 14D. Sikan
- 21T. Bentayeb
- 55M. Kana
- 30I. Koutsoupias
- 10M. Winkler
- 18L. Ambros
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 27L. Pétrot
- 79A. Maamar
- 50K. Barry
- 26C. Coosemans
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 71R. Araki
- 14R. Merlen
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 3T. Hata
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 26V. Musliu
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Reims(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Anderlecht wins, 1 draw, 1 St. Truiden win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Anderlecht 3-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | St. Truiden 2-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Anderlecht 2-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | St. Truiden 2-2 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | St. Truiden 0-2 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Anderlecht 1-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Anderlecht vs St. Truiden on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Anderlecht score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anderlecht sit 5th in Jupiler Pro League (16 points from 8 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for St. Truiden.
- Where and when is Anderlecht vs St. Truiden played?
- Anderlecht vs St. Truiden is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.