Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Guldensporenstadion, Kortrijk
The Footlab model makes Kortrijk the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Kortrijk (1,874) and Cercle Brugge (1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kortrijk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cercle Brugge have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Reims(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | KAA Gent II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kortrijk win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cercle Brugge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 1-0 Kortrijk | Cup |
| May 3, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 0-2 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Kortrijk 2-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Kortrijk 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Cercle Brugge 3-0 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk on Oct 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kortrijk score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kortrijk sit 17th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Cercle Brugge sit 13th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 17 | Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge?
- The Footlab model makes Kortrijk the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cercle Brugge.
- Where and when is Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge played?
- Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Guldensporenstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.