KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab model makes Zulte Waregem the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,887) and Zulte Waregem (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Zulte Waregem have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Genk(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KV Mechelen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Zulte Waregem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-1 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | KV Mechelen 1-0 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 1-2 KV Mechelen | Cup |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 2-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | KV Mechelen 2-2 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zulte Waregem score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Zulte Waregem | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Zulte Waregem sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem?
- The Footlab model makes Zulte Waregem the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem played?
- KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.