KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Zulte Waregem. The most likely score is 1-1. If KV Mechelen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,926) and Zulte Waregem (2,002).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1- 9M. van Brederode
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 23S. Michez
- 30Marco Decherf
- 26D. Praet
- 17C. Van Meirvenne
- 3José Marsà
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 20K. Corbanie
- 13Nacho Mirás
Zulte Waregem
4-3-3- 18A. Ementa
- 20T. Hedl
- 10M. Mbaye
- 11M. Aké
- 6E. Lofolomo
- 8T. Claes
- 4L. Lemoine
- 5J. Kiilerich
- 55Y. Cappelle
- 23S. Diakité
- 1L. Bostyn
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Zulte Waregem have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KV Mechelen wins, 2 draws, 1 Zulte Waregem win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-1 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | KV Mechelen 1-0 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 1-2 KV Mechelen | Cup |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 2-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | KV Mechelen 2-2 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zulte Waregem score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Zulte Waregem | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 8 matches) and Zulte Waregem sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
A question about KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem?
- The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Zulte Waregem.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem played?
- KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.