Andorra U17 vs Bulgaria U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bulgaria U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Andorra U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andorra U17 vs Bulgaria U17?
Bulgaria U17 starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,518 vs 1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andorra U17 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bulgaria U17 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | San Marino U17(home) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Georgia U17(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Wales U17(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Latvia U17(home) | 1-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Denmark U17(away) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Lithuania U17(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Azerbaijan U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Andorra U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bulgaria U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | Andorra U17 1-2 Bulgaria U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Andorra U17 vs Bulgaria U17 on Oct 31, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Andorra U17 score 0.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria U17 score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra U17 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Bulgaria U17 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Andorra U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Bulgaria U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulgaria U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Andorra U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andorra U17 vs Bulgaria U17?
- The Footlab model makes Bulgaria U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Andorra U17.
- Where and when is Andorra U17 vs Bulgaria U17 played?
- Andorra U17 vs Bulgaria U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17