Antofagasta vs Curico Unido: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Regional Calvo y Bascuñán, Antofagasta
The Footlab model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Curico Unido. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
Antofagasta starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antofagasta have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Curico Unido have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Espanola(away) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 5-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Antofagasta win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Curico Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Curico Unido 1-0 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Antofagasta 0-2 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| May 25, 2025 | Curico Unido 1-0 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Curico Unido 0-2 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Antofagasta 1-1 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Antofagasta 0-0 Curico Unido | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Curico Unido vs Antofagasta on Jun 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antofagasta score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Curico Unido score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antofagasta | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Curico Unido | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antofagasta sit 4th in Primera B (34 points from 21 matches) and Curico Unido sit 13th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Curico Unido.
- Where and when is Antofagasta vs Curico Unido played?
- Antofagasta vs Curico Unido is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Regional Calvo y Bascuñán, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.