Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Union Espanola the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Santiago Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Union Espanola (1,655) and Santiago Wanderers (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Espanola have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Santiago Wanderers have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Antofagasta(home) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-4 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 3-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Union Espanola win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santiago Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers 2-2 Union Espanola | Primera B |
| Aug 26, 2021 | Santiago Wanderers 1-2 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Union Espanola 3-1 Santiago Wanderers | Primera División |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Santiago Wanderers 1-0 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Union Espanola 2-1 Santiago Wanderers | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Santiago Wanderers vs Union Espanola on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Espanola score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Santiago Wanderers score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Santiago Wanderers | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Espanola sit 5th in Primera B (34 points from 21 matches) and Santiago Wanderers sit 2nd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Union Espanola the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Santiago Wanderers.
- Where and when is Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers played?
- Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.