San Luis vs Recoleta: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña, Quillota
The Footlab model makes San Luis the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Luis vs Recoleta?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate San Luis (1,656) and Recoleta (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Luis have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Recoleta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 San Luis win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Recoleta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Recoleta 0-0 San Luis | Primera B |
| Oct 13, 2025 | San Luis 0-0 Recoleta | Primera B |
| May 30, 2025 | Recoleta 3-1 San Luis | Primera B |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Recoleta 1-2 San Luis | Primera B |
| May 5, 2024 | San Luis 1-0 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Recoleta 2-3 San Luis | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
San Luis score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Luis | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Recoleta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Luis sit 6th in Primera B (32 points from 20 matches) and Recoleta sit 9th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Luis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Luis vs Recoleta?
- The Footlab model makes San Luis the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Recoleta.
- Where and when is San Luis vs Recoleta played?
- San Luis vs Recoleta is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Deportes TemucovsSan Marcos de Arica
- Oct 25, 2026Deportes IquiquevsMagallanes
- Oct 25, 2026Union EspanolavsSantiago Wanderers
- Oct 25, 2026AntofagastavsCurico Unido
- Oct 25, 2026D. Puerto MonttvsUnion San Felipe
- Oct 25, 2026Deportes CopiapovsDeportes Santa Cruz
- Oct 25, 2026Rangers de TalcavsCobreloa