D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Union San Felipe. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
D. Puerto Montt starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, D. Puerto Montt have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Union San Felipe have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 D. Puerto Montt win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union San Felipe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Union San Felipe 1-0 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Union San Felipe 0-1 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Jun 3, 2023 | D. Puerto Montt 1-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Union San Felipe 0-1 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Nov 6, 2022 | D. Puerto Montt 2-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Union San Felipe 1-0 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
D. Puerto Montt score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union San Felipe score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Puerto Montt | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Union San Felipe | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
D. Puerto Montt sit 7th in Primera B (31 points from 21 matches) and Union San Felipe sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
- The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Union San Felipe.
- Where and when is D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe played?
- D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario de Chinquihue, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.