Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Bicentenario Germán Becker, Temuco
The Footlab model makes Deportes Temuco the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for San Marcos de Arica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Deportes Temuco (1,587) and San Marcos de Arica (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Temuco have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; San Marcos de Arica have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Magallanes(home) | 3-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 1-4 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Espanola(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportes Temuco win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 San Marcos de Arica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica 0-1 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Aug 10, 2025 | San Marcos de Arica 0-0 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Deportes Temuco 1-3 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Deportes Temuco 0-0 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| Feb 25, 2024 | San Marcos de Arica 0-1 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Aug 28, 2023 | San Marcos de Arica 1-2 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Temuco on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Temuco score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcos de Arica score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| San Marcos de Arica | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Temuco sit 12th in Primera B (25 points from 21 matches) and San Marcos de Arica sit 8th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Temuco the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for San Marcos de Arica.
- Where and when is Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica played?
- Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Bicentenario Germán Becker, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.