Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
The Footlab model makes Deportes Copiapo the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Deportes Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Deportes Copiapo (1,647) and Deportes Santa Cruz (1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Copiapo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Deportes Santa Cruz have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Deportes Copiapo win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportes Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz 1-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 2-0 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Deportes Santa Cruz 0-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Deportes Copiapo 4-2 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Deportes Santa Cruz 2-2 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Deportes Santa Cruz 1-2 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Copiapo on Jun 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Copiapo score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Copiapo | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Deportes Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Copiapo sit 10th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15th (16 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Copiapo the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Deportes Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz played?
- Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.