Antwerp vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bosuilstadion, Deurne
The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Antwerp. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Antwerp (1,926) and St. Truiden (1,989).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antwerp have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; St. Truiden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Antwerp win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 St. Truiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Antwerp 1-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Antwerp 3-3 St. Truiden | Cup |
| Nov 2, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Antwerp 6-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Antwerp 3-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Antwerp vs St. Truiden on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antwerp score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| St. Truiden | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antwerp sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Antwerp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Antwerp.
- Where and when is Antwerp vs St. Truiden played?
- Antwerp vs St. Truiden is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bosuilstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.