Gent vs Club Brugge KV: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gent. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gent vs Club Brugge KV?
Club Brugge KV starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 1,981).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 4 wins, 10 draws and 1 defeats; Club Brugge KV have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gent win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Club Brugge KV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 5-0 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gent 0-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Gent 1-1 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 1, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 4-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Gent 0-5 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge KV vs Gent on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gent sit 5th in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Club Brugge KV sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gent vs Club Brugge KV?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gent.
- Where and when is Gent vs Club Brugge KV played?
- Gent vs Club Brugge KV is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.