RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière
The Footlab model makes RAAL La Louvière the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate RAAL La Louvière (1,860) and KV Mechelen (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RAAL La Louvière have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 RAAL La Louvière win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière 0-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | KV Mechelen 3-2 RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | KV Mechelen 3-1 RAAL La Louvière | Cup |
Last archived meeting: RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RAAL La Louvière score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RAAL La Louvière sit 15th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes RAAL La Louvière the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen played?
- RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Communal du Tivoli, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.