OH Leuven vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
Standard Liege starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Standard Liege have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 OH Leuven win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Standard Liege win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Standard Liege 2-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | OH Leuven 1-3 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs OH Leuven on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OH Leuven sit 17th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Standard Liege sit 6th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is OH Leuven vs Standard Liege played?
- OH Leuven vs Standard Liege is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.