Genk vs SK Beveren: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for SK Beveren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs SK Beveren?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Genk (2,030) and SK Beveren (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SK Beveren have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MVV(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genk win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SK Beveren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Genk 2-1 SK Beveren | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 30, 2024 | SK Beveren 0-2 Genk | Cup |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Genk 1-1 SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2020 | SK Beveren 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Genk 4-1 SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2019 | SK Beveren 0-4 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SK Beveren score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| SK Beveren | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and SK Beveren sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | SK Beveren | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs SK Beveren?
- The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for SK Beveren.
- Where and when is Genk vs SK Beveren played?
- Genk vs SK Beveren is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.