APR vs Al Merreikh: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Al Merreikh. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APR vs Al Merreikh?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate APR (1,828) and Al Merreikh (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APR vs Al Merreikh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APR
Not enough data to predict the APR lineup.
Al Merreikh
4-3-3- 29Ramadan Agab
- 32S. Patiño
- 28A. Balouchy
- 7Mohamed Al Rashed
- 8Wagdi Awad
- 30Anas Mohamed
- 13Ahmed Yousif Tabanja
- 2Adam Babajide
- 33Dia Wah Mickaël
- 25Elsamani Saadeldin
- 16O. Ojo
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Al Merreikh have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Marines(home) | 4-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Horoya(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Horoya(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 APR win, 1 draw, 0 Al Merreikh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Al Merreikh 1-2 APR | National Soccer League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | APR 0-0 Al Merreikh | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Merreikh score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Merreikh | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APR sit 12th in National Soccer League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al Merreikh sit 16th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | APR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Al Merreikh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
A question about APR vs Al Merreikh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APR vs Al Merreikh?
- The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Al Merreikh.
- Where and when is APR vs Al Merreikh played?
- APR vs Al Merreikh is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Amahoro, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.