Kiyovu Sports vs Gicumbi: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mumena, Kigali
The Footlab model makes Kiyovu Sports the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Gicumbi. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kiyovu Sports vs Gicumbi?
Kiyovu Sports starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,560).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kiyovu Sports have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Gicumbi have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | APR(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 15, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 9, 2026 | Bugesera(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kiyovu Sports win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gicumbi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports 1-1 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Gicumbi 1-4 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports 6-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Gicumbi 0-1 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Gicumbi 1-3 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2019 | Kiyovu Sports 1-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Kiyovu Sports vs Gicumbi on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kiyovu Sports score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gicumbi score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyovu Sports | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Gicumbi | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kiyovu Sports sit 5th in National Soccer League (53 points from 34 matches) and Gicumbi sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kiyovu Sports | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 54 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kiyovu Sports vs Gicumbi?
- The Footlab model makes Kiyovu Sports the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Gicumbi.
- Where and when is Kiyovu Sports vs Gicumbi played?
- Kiyovu Sports vs Gicumbi is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Mumena, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.