Bugesera vs Gorilla: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Gorilla. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bugesera vs Gorilla?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Bugesera (1,668) and Gorilla (1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bugesera vs Gorilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Gorilla
Not enough data to predict the Gorilla lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Gorilla have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bugesera wins, 3 draws, 1 Gorilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Bugesera 3-1 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gorilla 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 2, 2025 | Gorilla 0-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Gorilla 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bugesera 2-2 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilla score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Gorilla | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 12th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gorilla sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs Gorilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bugesera vs Gorilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Gorilla.
- Where and when is Bugesera vs Gorilla played?
- Bugesera vs Gorilla is played on December 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bugesera Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.