APR vs Mukura: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Mukura. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APR vs Mukura?
APR starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,633).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APR vs Mukura
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APR
Not enough data to predict the APR lineup.
Mukura
Not enough data to predict the Mukura lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Mukura have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Marines(home) | 4-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | JSK(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Amagaju(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 APR wins, 0 draws, 1 Mukura win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mukura 0-3 APR | National Soccer League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | APR 1-0 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Mukura 1-0 APR | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | APR 4-2 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Mukura 0-2 APR | National Soccer League |
| Oct 13, 2023 | APR 1-0 Mukura | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mukura score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Mukura | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APR sit 12th in National Soccer League (3 points from 1 match) and Mukura sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mukura | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
A question about APR vs Mukura?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APR vs Mukura?
- The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Mukura.
- Where and when is APR vs Mukura played?
- APR vs Mukura is played on February 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Amahoro, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.