AS Kigali vs Marines: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for AS Kigali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marines wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Kigali vs Marines?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate AS Kigali (1,631) and Marines (1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Kigali vs Marines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Kigali
Not enough data to predict the AS Kigali lineup.
Marines
Not enough data to predict the Marines lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Kigali have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Marines have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marines(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | APR(away) | 2-4 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AS Kigali wins, 0 draws, 2 Marines wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marines 2-0 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Marines 0-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | AS Kigali 1-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
| May 27, 2025 | Marines 0-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | AS Kigali 1-2 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | AS Kigali 2-1 Marines | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Kigali score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marines score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Kigali | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Marines | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Kigali sit 10th in National Soccer League (4 points from 4 matches) and Marines sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
A question about AS Kigali vs Marines?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Kigali vs Marines?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for AS Kigali.
- Where and when is AS Kigali vs Marines played?
- AS Kigali vs Marines is played on February 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.