Araz vs Sabah FA: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
The Footlab model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Araz. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Araz vs Sabah FA?
Sabah FA is a heavy favourite: 2,070 Elo points against 1,752 — a 318-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sabah FA have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Imisli FK(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 23, 2026 | Zira(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 15, 2026 | Kapaz(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 9, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 2, 2026 | Imisli FK(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kapaz(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aarhus(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aarhus(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Araz win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Sabah FA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Araz 2-4 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Sabah FA 4-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Araz 2-2 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| May 3, 2025 | Araz 1-1 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Sabah FA 2-2 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Araz 0-1 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sabah FA score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sabah FA | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 7th in Premyer Liqa (1 points from 1 matches) and Sabah FA sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sabah FA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Araz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Araz vs Sabah FA?
- The Footlab model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Araz.
- Where and when is Araz vs Sabah FA played?
- Araz vs Sabah FA is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.