Safa Baku vs Imisli FK: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ASK Arena, Baku
The Footlab model makes Safa Baku the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Imisli FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Imisli FK?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Safa Baku (1,653) and Imisli FK (1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Safa Baku have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Imisli FK have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zira(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 22, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 15, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 6, 2026 | Difai Ağsu(away) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zira(away) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Araz(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 24, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 16, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 8, 2026 | Zira(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Safa Baku score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Imisli FK score 0.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safa Baku | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Imisli FK | 0.4 | 1.4 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Safa Baku sit 6th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 2 matches) and Imisli FK sit 8th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Safa Baku | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Safa Baku vs Imisli FK?
- The Footlab model makes Safa Baku the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Imisli FK.
- Where and when is Safa Baku vs Imisli FK played?
- Safa Baku vs Imisli FK is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ASK Arena, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.