Kapaz vs Turan: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Gəncə
The Footlab model makes Turan the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Kapaz. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kapaz vs Turan?
Turan starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,617).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kapaz have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Turan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 23, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 15, 2026 | Araz(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 8, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 2, 2026 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 22, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 16, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 10, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kapaz win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Turan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kapaz 1-1 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Kapaz 0-2 Turan | Cup |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Turan 1-0 Kapaz | Cup |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Kapaz 0-2 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Turan 3-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| May 25, 2025 | Turan 4-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Kapaz score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Turan score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kapaz | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Turan | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kapaz sit 12th in Premyer Liqa (0 points from 1 matches) and Turan sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Turan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kapaz vs Turan?
- The Footlab model makes Turan the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Kapaz.
- Where and when is Kapaz vs Turan played?
- Kapaz vs Turan is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.