Arbroath vs Partick: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Arbroath. The most likely score is 1-1. If Partick wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arbroath vs Partick?
Partick starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arbroath vs Partick
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arbroath
4-2-3-1- 9A. Winter
- 20S. Constable
- 25J. MacIntyre
- 11R. Dow
- 14M. McKenna
- 8R. Flynn
- 26S. Mackie
- 16C. Watson
- 22C. Dewar
- 6T. Beadling
- 1A. McAdams
Partick
4-2-3-1- 9A. Samuel
- 7S. Drozd
- 26B. Stanway
- 6B. Dempsey
- 10E. Henderson
- 8O. Smyth
- 3P. Reading
- 24B. McPherson
- 22C. Loughrey
- 5L. Ashcroft
- 1L. Budinauckas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Partick have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arbroath win, 3 draws, 2 Partick wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Partick 3-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Arbroath 0-0 Partick | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Partick 0-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Arbroath 2-1 Partick | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Partick 1-1 Arbroath | Championship |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Arbroath 0-1 Partick | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Partick score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Partick | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 8th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Partick sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Arbroath vs Partick?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arbroath vs Partick?
- The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Arbroath.
- Where and when is Arbroath vs Partick played?
- Arbroath vs Partick is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gayfield Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.