Partick vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wyre Stadium at Firhill, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Partick vs Ayr Utd?
Partick starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Partick vs Ayr Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Partick
4-2-3-1- 9A. Samuel
- 7S. Drozd
- 26B. Stanway
- 6B. Dempsey
- 10E. Henderson
- 8O. Smyth
- 3P. Reading
- 24B. McPherson
- 22C. Loughrey
- 5L. Ashcroft
- 1L. Budinauckas
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Partick have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Partick wins, 2 draws, 0 Ayr Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Partick 1-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Partick | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Partick 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Partick | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Partick 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Partick 2-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Partick score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Partick sit 3rd in Championship (18 points from 9 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 7th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Partick vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Partick vs Ayr Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Partick the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Partick vs Ayr Utd played?
- Partick vs Ayr Utd is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wyre Stadium at Firhill, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.