Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ludogorets wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1- 91S. Ivanov
- 80L. Kotev
- 39A. Vutov
- 8D. Yankov
- 26B. Akandzha
- 10S. Kovachev
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 35D. Velkovski
- 1A. Gospodinov
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 14P. Stanić
- 20A. Camara
- 18I. Chochev
- 42S. Shishkov
- 2J. Andersson
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ludogorets have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arda Kardzhali wins, 2 draws, 2 Ludogorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-3 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| May 26, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| May 9, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali 0-4 Ludogorets | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali on Oct 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 6th in First League (21 points from 13 matches) and Ludogorets sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
A question about Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.